Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.174413 0.205944 0.241225 0.283580 0.333007 0.388820 0.456587
2025-08-24 0.127724 0.168274 0.218497 0.285089 0.370877 0.477477 0.619785
2025-08-31 0.097729 0.139812 0.196050 0.276331 0.387580 0.535837 0.747890
2025-09-07 0.081574 0.124881 0.186473 0.279849 0.417118 0.610655 0.903195
2025-09-14 0.069029 0.112158 0.176933 0.280425 0.440559 0.677583 1.053281
2025-09-21 0.058306 0.100015 0.165840 0.276117 0.454808 0.731085 1.187983
2025-09-28 0.050354 0.090793 0.157575 0.274414 0.471853 0.789418 1.335120
2025-10-05 0.046588 0.087876 0.158909 0.288119 0.514822 0.892534 1.564102
2025-10-12 0.043990 0.086528 0.162541 0.305885 0.566244 1.014307 1.836240
2025-10-19 0.040378 0.082712 0.161187 0.314394 0.602076 1.112739 2.077875
2025-10-26 0.036193 0.077132 0.155777 0.314573 0.622496 1.185675 2.281068
2025-11-02 0.031464 0.069734 0.145887 0.304838 0.622951 1.222053 2.420476
2025-11-09 0.026572 0.061474 0.133650 0.289844 0.613347 1.242226 2.538934
2025-11-16 0.023844 0.057455 0.129541 0.290951 0.636224 1.327686 2.794472
2025-11-23 0.020653 0.051846 0.121232 0.281983 0.637090 1.369579 2.967735
2025-11-30 0.018860 0.049167 0.118891 0.285567 0.664776 1.468398 3.267327
2025-12-07 0.017076 0.046201 0.115453 0.286154 0.685850 1.555449 3.551191
2025-12-14 0.015202 0.042682 0.110199 0.281761 0.695062 1.617881 3.788366
2025-12-21 0.013711 0.039897 0.106299 0.280026 0.710099 1.694463 4.064530
2025-12-28 0.013197 0.039653 0.108665 0.293998 0.764097 1.864076 4.568181
2026-01-04 0.012898 0.039958 0.112475 0.312110 0.830285 2.068319 5.172167
2026-01-11 0.012177 0.038931 0.112641 0.320786 0.873936 2.223995 5.677157
2026-01-18 0.011169 0.036882 0.109759 0.320968 0.895910 2.329896 6.073070